Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Premier League match


Arsenal are looking to continue their Premier League title charge as they visit Anfield to take on Liverpool on Sunday.

The Gunners are staring down the barrel of a 12-match winless run at the famed Liverpool ground, without a win since 2012. The dry spell looks even worse when you break down how badly they’ve performed in that stretch of games at this ground.

Yet this year just feels different, as Arsenal are top of the league by five points and shooting for their first top-flight championship since 2004.

Every point counts at this stage, and Arsenal fans would probably be happy to escape this horror ground with a draw, though knowing Manchester City have a game in hand, victory here would not only permanently exorcise the Anfield demons, but it would also give the Gunners an enormous boost towards claiming the league trophy.

MORE: Premier League top goal scorers as Erling Haaland chases league records

Liverpool vs Arsenal odds

While Arsenal are owners of a long winless streak at Anfield, the Gunners are still slight favourites on the road as they lead the Premier League. Liverpool, understandably given their inconsistency this season, are thought to be slight underdogs, although they’re still given a good chance to come away with all three points at their home fortress.

Goals are expected to flow, as the total goals over is a massive favourite and both teams are thought very likely to score.

Draw Arsenal
Both teams
to score Y / N
Over / Under
2.5 goals
+170 +270 +140 -190 / +130 -165 / +115 -185 +130

+166 +257 +134 -217 / +135 -175 / +126 -179 +133
9/5 13/5 11/8 1/2, 6/4 4/7, 5/4
2.80 3.50 2.53 1.50 / 2.45 1.62 / 2.30
2.75 3.62 2.32 1.53 / 2.40 1.64 / 2.25 1.61 2.32

Liverpool vs Arsenal: Three things to know

1. Liverpool vs Arsenal match facts

  • Date: Sunday, April 9
  • Kickoff Time: 11:30 a.m. ET / 4:30 pm BST / 1:30 a.m. AEST (Mon, Apr. 10)
  • Location: Anfield (Liverpool, England)
  • Official: Paul Tierney
  • Last meeting: Arsenal 3-2 Liverpool (Oct. 9, 2022 | Premier League)

2. Liverpool vs Arsenal team news

Liverpool’s injury problems have been well-documented over the past few months, but they seem to be easing. Luis Diaz could possibly return from his long-term injury in this match, but would likely need a few substitute appearances before he’s ready to start a game. Thiago is also back in training and could return, while Virgil van Dijk will be back from his illness. Naby Keita is probably out here, but should be back soon, but Stefan Bajcetic and Calvin Ramsey are out for the season.

For the visitors, William Saliba missed out last game with a back problem, and he could be in danger of missing this match as well. Eddie Nketiah could be sidelined too with his ankle injury, and the pair of Mohamed Elneny and Takehiro Tomiyasu are both definitely out.

MORE: Updated Premier League table with a breakdown of every race

3. Liverpool vs Arsenal key stats

  • Arsenal have not won at Anfield outright since a Premier League meeting in September of 2012, a run of 12 straight matches without a win. They technically didn’t even win the 2020/21 EFL Cup fourth round match since they won on penalties after a 0-0 draw.
  • In fact, during that 12-game winless run at Anfield, Arsenal have not lost a match by a single goal. They have either drawn (five times) or been beaten by multiple goals (seven times), with the average margin of defeat at 3.14 goals.
  • William Saliba has been dribbled past just three times this season. That’s the fewest of all Premier League players with at least 2000 minutes in league action this season. His centre-back partner Gabriel, who has been dribbled past seven times, is tied for fourth in the same list.

Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction

  • Moneyline lean: Draw (+270)
  • Against the spread lean (handicap): Liverpool +0.5 (-185)
  • Score prediction: Liverpool 1-1 Arsenal

Everything logically and statistically points towards an Arsenal win in this match, as Liverpool have been smashed by injuries and have failed to produce any kind of consistency this season.

The Reds were horrid against Chelsea last time out in the comedic 0-0 draw at Stamford Bridge, lending further credence to the theory that this team can be well-beaten on any day.

Yet it’s just too difficult to get past the Anfield horrors that Arsenal have suffered through of late. Sometimes, while not exactly logical, that stuff just matters. For that reason, we’re splitting the difference and running with a draw for this prediction.

Liverpool vs Arsenal best bet

  • Pick: Half with most goals — 2H (2nd Half)
  • Odds: -105 (BetMGM)

While Liverpool have been relatively evenly spread out between both halves when it comes to this prop, Arsenal have shown a clear trend that has us backing second half drama.

Not only do these teams often play wild matches that could feature a late twist, but Arsenal have been the best defensive team in the first half of games this season. Even without William Saliba, this Gunners side will know how to navigate the first 45 minutes, having conceded just nine goals before the break all year, but 18 after halftime.

Additionally, Arsenal have scored the most second-half goals in the league, with their 41 — even more than Man City and Tottenham, the other two great second-half teams. It’s enough to have us backing the bulk of the scoring to come after the break.

Liverpool vs Arsenal prop bet

  • Pick: Under 2.5 goals
  • Odds: +115 (BetMGM)

The over is so skewed in this match, so I’m taking the value offered by a lack of goals. Sure, William Saliba is likely out, and yes, these two teams have good attacking talent, but there is every reason to believe a low score here is possible.

Given Arsenal’s struggles at Anfield, they may be satisfied with a point knowing that it still helps them in their push towards the Premier League title. Additionally, these two teams have gone under the 2.5 goals total in three of their last four meetings across all competitions, and there have also been two scoreless draws between them in the last three games at Anfield. Even Liverpool, who are defensively frail, have seen their games go under 2.5 goals in four of their last seven games, with three clean sheets in that span.

While conventional wisdom says these two teams can put up a huge total, like they did at the Emirates back in October, there is real value here on the under.

Liverpool vs Arsenal live stream, TV channel

MORE: Watch Premier League matches live with fuboTV in USA

  TV channel Streaming
USA Peacock
Canada Fubo Canada
UK Sky Sports Main Event,
Sky Sports Premier League
Sky GO
Australia Optus Sport
New Zealand Sky Sport Premier League Sky Sport NOW
India Star Sports Select 2 Jio TV, Hotstar VIP
Hong Kong Now Premier League
(Ch. 620-621)
Now Player
Malaysia Astro SuperSport 3

Astro GO, sooka

Singapore Hub Premier
(Ch. 221-223)
StarHub TV+

UK: This match will be broadcast live in the UK via Sky Sports’ TV and streaming platforms.

USA: This match will be streamed exclusively on NBC’s Peacock with options to view in English and Spanish.

Canada: Every Premier League game this season is live streaming exclusively via Fubo in Canada.

Australia: Fans in Australia can stream every match live and on demand on Optus Sport

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